Hymn Book captures Donn Handicap

Horseracing Betting Lines

02/11/2012 - Hallandale Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hymn Book, making his 2012 debut, outfought Mission Impazible down the stretch to win Saturday's $500,000 Donn Handicap at Gulfstream Park. The six-year-old gelding covered the 1 1/8- miles in 1:49.16 on a track listed as good.

Trained by Shug McGaughey, Hymn Book was 6-1 at post-time and settled comfortably into fifth less than four-lengths off the lead. Trickmeister set the pace up the backstretch with 2011 Preakness Stakes winner Shackleford in second.

Shackleford, the 3-1 favorite in the 11-horse field, pressed the leader while last year's Belmont Stakes champ Ruler On Ice was running in eighth. Hymn Book, ridden by John Velazquez, was forced to race wide around the far turn but was able to gain ground at the top of the stretch.

Mission Impazible and jockey Javier Castellano had the lead at the top of the stretch and had a length lead heading to the wire. Hymn Book was bumped in the stretch but still found something more to rally.

Hymn Book and Mission Impazible battled through the final 100 yards with Velazquez getting his mount up at the wire. Hymn Book registered a nose victory over Mission Impazible with Redeemed finishing third.

Where's Sterling, who bumped Hymn Book, finished fourth followed by Flat Out, Trickmeister, Shackleford, Ruler On Ice, Sangaree, Al Khali and Soaring Empire.

Hymn Book, who broke from an outside post, is owned by Stuart Janney III and picked up $300,000 for the win. The gelding now has seven career wins in 14 starts with better than $600,000 in earnings.

The six-year-old was second in the Cigar Mile in November after winning a minor stakes the previous month at Belmont Park. Earlier last year Hymn Book was second to Flat Out in the Suburban Handicap and sixth in the Bernard Baruch.

Hymn Book paid $15.00, $7.80 and $5.60. Mission Impazible returned $9.20 and $5.80, and Redeemed paid $4.60 to show.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

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